Democratic Dead Heat In Alabama

Geography Surveyed: Alabama

Data Collected: 01/31/2008

Release Date: 02/01/2008 07:15 ET

Sponsor: WKRG-TV Mobile-Pensacola

Boom Boom in 'Bama: Clinton 47%, Obama 47% -- Alabama Democrats are brewing up the perfect Super Tuesday Storm, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WKRG-TV Mobile. Northern AL votes for Hillary Clinton. Southern AL votes for Barack Obama. Older voters back Clinton. Younger voters back Obama. White voters back Clinton. Black voters back Obama. Moderates back Clinton. Liberals back Obama. Pro-choice voters back Clinton. Pro-life voters back Obama. Registered Democrats back Clinton. Independents back Obama. Regular church goers back Obama. Less-regular church goers back Clinton. When all the sub-groups are totaled, today, 4 days to Super Tuesday, it's Clinton 47%, Obama 47%, a fierce fight that could go either way on Tuesday.

Filtering / Timing: 2,000 state of Alabama adults were interviewed 01/30/08 and 01/31/08. Of them, 1,783 were registered to vote. Of them, 586 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted, or to be certain to vote at the precinct on Primary Day. All interviews conducted after results of Florida Primary were known, but before a Democratic Debate in California that began 8 pm ET on 01/31/08. Early voting: Mobile County and Baldwin County voters had the option, but not the obligation, to vote early, to avoid a conflict on 02/05/08 with Mardi Gras. 10% of those who participated in this survey had already voted. Alabama's 60 delegates to the Democratic National Convention are awarded proportionally. Regardless of whether Clinton or Obama wins the Alabama Democratic Primary, both candidates will take delegates to the national Convention in Denver in August.

1

  Asked of 586 Likely and Actual Voters


  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.1%

If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat?

47%
Clinton


47%
Obama


5%
Other


2%
Undecided

x

  Complete Interactive Crosstabs



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  Statement of Methodology



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